Dr Thomas Ezard
Research Fellow
Email: t.ezard@surrey.ac.uk
Phone: Work: 01483 68 3387
Room no: 15 AA 04
Further information
Biography
I read Mathematics with German at the University of St Andrews, before taking a M.Res. Environmental Biology Conversion course to apply mathematics in the natural world. My PhD (``Interactions between Structure and Stochasticity in Demographic Models'' under the supervision of Tim Coulson at Imperial College London) developed my interest in Mathematical Biology further. On completion, I worked as a PostDoc refining theory developed in contemporary populations to macro-evolutionary questions in collaboration with Andy Purvis and Paul Pearson.
I moved to the Maths department at the University of Surrey in September 2010, to work with Rebecca Hoyle on the evolution of trans-generational effects. The first paper from this project (when & why maternal effects maximise fitness by slowing adaptation) is now online.
As Early Career Representative on the British Ecological Society Council and member of the working group for the International Network of Next-Generation Ecologists, I represent the interests of ecologists early in their careers. If you have suggestions for how we can "advance ecology and make it count", then please get in touch via email. I'm @tomezard on twitter and on Mendeley.
Research Interests
I use theoretical and empirical models to assess how ecological change affects population and evolutionary dynamics. I aim to increase understanding of how structure and stochasticity interact to regulate biological dynamics.
At the University of Surrey, I am working with Rebecca Hoyle on the evolution of trans-generational effects. Our hypothesis is that trans-generational effects are an adaptive consequence of evolved life-history strategies, and that we can therefore predict the ecological conditions under which they will arise. Any 'decision' in the parent generation has implications for the phenotype of the offspring, and hence what 'decision' should be made in this generation. The delayed impacts pose intriguing challenges for mathematical modelling, because there are time lags between when information 'enters' the phenotype (e.g., being a first-born), and when natural selection operates (e.g., on the offspring of that first-born individual).
Publications
Please email me (t [dot] ezard [at] surrey.ac.uk) for pdfs or source code:
- Hoyle, R.B. & Ezard, T.H.G. (online) The benefits of maternal effects in novel and in stable environments. J. Roy. Soc. Interface. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2012.0183.
- Ezard, T.H.G., Pearson, P.N., Aze, T. & Purvis, A. (2012). The Meaning of Birth and Death (in Macroevolutionary Birth-Death Models). Biol Lett. 8, 139-142. doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2011.0699
- Aze, T., Ezard, T.H.G., Purvis, A., Coxall, H.K., Stewart, D.R.M., Wade, B.S. & Pearson, P.N. (2011). A phylogeny of Cenozoic macroperforate planktonic foraminifera from fossil data. Biol. Rev. 86, 900-927. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00178.x
- Ezard, T.H.G., Aze, T., Pearson, P.N. & Purvis, A. (2011). Interplay between Changing Climate and Species' Ecology Drives Macroevolutionary Dynamics. Science, 332, 349-351. doi 10.1126/science.1203060.
- Ezard, T.H.G., Pearson, P.N. & Purvis, A. (2010). Algorithmic approaches to aid species delimitation in multidimensional morphospace. BMC Evol. Biol. 10: 175, doi:10.1186/1471-2148-10-175.
- Ezard, T.H.G., Bullock, J.M., Dalgleish, H.J., Millon, A., Pelletier, F., Ozgul, A. & Koons, D.N. (2010). Matrix models for a changeable world: the importance of transient dynamics in population management. J. Appl. Ecol. 47, 515-523. dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2010.01801.x
- Ezard, T.H.G. & Coulson, T. (2010). How sensitive are elasticities of long-run stochastic growth to how environmental variability is modelled? Ecol. Model. 221, 191-200, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.09.017
- Ezard, T.H.G. & Purvis, A. (2009). paleoPhylo: free software to draw paleobiological phylogenies. Paleobiology 35, 460-464. http://dx.doi.org/10.1666/0094-8373-35.3.460
- Ezard, T.H.G., Côté, S.D. & Pelletier, F. (2009). Eco-evolutionary dynamics: disentangling phenotypic, environmental and population fluctuations. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B. 364, 1491-1498. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2009.0006
- Ezard, T.H.G., Gaillard, J.-M., Crawley, M.J. & Coulson, T. (2008). Habitat dependence and correlations between elasticities of long-term growth rates. Am. Nat. 172: 424-430. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/589897
- Ezard, T.H.G. (2008) Interaktionen zwischen Populationsstruktur und Stochastizität in demographischen Modellen. Vogelwarte 46: 139-141.
- Coulson, T., Ezard, T.H.G., Pelletier, F., Stenseth, N.C., Pilkington, J. Pemberton, J.M., Kruuk, L.E.B., Clutton-Brock, T.H. & Crawley, M. (2008) Estimating the functional form for the density dependence from life history data. Ecology 89: 1664-1674. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/07-1099.1
- Becker, P.H., Ezard, T.H.G., Ludwigs, J.-D., Sauer-Gürth, H. & Wink, M. (2008) Population sex ratio shift from fledging to recruitment: consequences for demography in a philopatric seabird. Oikos 117: 60-68. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.2007.0030-1299.16287.x
- Ezard, T.H.G., Becker, P.H. & Coulson, T. (2007) Correlations between Age, Phenotypic Traits and Individual Contributions to Population Growth in Common Terns. Ecology 88: 2496-2504. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/06-2020.1
- Dittmann, T., Ezard, T.H.G. & Becker, P.H. (2007) Prospectors colony attendance is sex- specific and increases future recruitment chances in a seabird. Behav. Proc. 76: 198-205. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.beproc.2007.05.002
- Ezard, T.H.G., Becker, P.H. & Coulson, T. (2006). The Contributions of Age and Sex to Variation in Common Tern Population Growth Rate. J. Anim. Ecol. 75: 1379-1386. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2006.01162.x
- Ezard, T.H.G. & Travis, J.M.J. (2006). The Impact of Habitat Loss and Fragmentation on Genetic Drift and Fixation Time. Oikos 114: 376-376. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.2006.0030-1299.14778.x
- Travis, J.M.J. & Ezard, T.H.G., (2006). Habitat geometry, population viscosity and the rate of genetic drift. Ecol. Inf. 1, 153-161. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2006.03.003
Teaching
MATM026 Applied Biological Dynamics - not running in 2011/2012
Macroevolution in planktonic foraminifera
Understanding how biodiversity has arisen is a fundamental challenge for evolutionary biology and ecology. Addressing it requires understanding of how speciation, extinction and character change interrelate. The work is in collaboration with Andy Purvis, Paul Pearson and Tracy Aze; published highlights:
- Ezard, T.H.G., Pearson, P.N., Aze, T. & Purvis, A. (2012). The Meaning of Birth and Death (in Macroevolutionary Birth-Death Models). Biol Lett. 8, 139-142. doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2011.0699
- Aze, T., Ezard, T.H.G., Purvis, A., Coxall, H.K., Stewart, D.R.M., Wade, B.S. & Pearson, P.N. (2011). A phylogeny of Cenozoic macroperforate planktonic foraminifera from fossil data. Biol. Rev. 86, 900-927. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00178.x
- Ezard, T.H.G., Aze, T., Pearson, P.N. & Purvis, A. (2011). Interplay between Changing Climate and Species' Ecology Drives Macroevolutionary Dynamics. Science, 332, 349-351. doi 10.1126/science.1203060.
- Ezard, T.H.G., Pearson, P.N. & Purvis, A. (2010). Algorithmic approaches to aid species delimitation in multidimensional morphospace. BMC Evol. Biol. 10: 175, doi:10.1186/1471-2148-10-175.
Stochastic demography
My PhD was completed in 2007 under the supervision of Tim Coulson at Imperial College London. It addressed questions into how structure and stochasticity interact in demographic models. The thesis is (mostly) available via links on the publications tab. Some highlights include:
- Ezard, T.H.G., Bullock, J.M., Dalgleish, H.J., Millon, A., Pelletier, F., Ozgul, A. & Koons, D.N. (2010). Matrix models for a changeable world: the importance of transient dynamics in population management. J. Appl. Ecol. 47, 515-523. dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2010.01801.x
- Ezard, T.H.G. & Coulson, T. (2010). How sensitive are elasticities of long-run stochastic growth to how environmental variability is modelled? Ecol. Model. 221, 191-200, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.09.0
- Ezard, T.H.G., Gaillard, J.-M., Crawley, M.J. & Coulson, T. (2008). Habitat dependence and correlations between elasticities of long-term growth rates. Am. Nat. 172: 424-430. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/589897
- Ezard, T.H.G., Becker, P.H. & Coulson, T. (2007) Correlations between Age, Phenotypic Traits and Individual Contributions to Population Growth in Common Terns. Ecology 88: 2496-2504. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/06-2020.1
- Ezard, T.H.G., Becker, P.H. & Coulson, T. (2006). The Contributions of Age and Sex to Variation in Common Tern Population Growth Rate. J. Anim. Ecol. 75: 1379-1386. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2006.01162.x
Landscape Genetics
My Masters thesis under the supervision of Justin Travis investigated fixation times of neutral alleles on irregular-shaped landscapes, either through linear features (e.g. rivers) or habitat fragmentation. For more information, see:
- Ezard, T.H.G. & Travis, J.M.J. (2006). The Impact of Habitat Loss and Fragmentation on Genetic Drift and Fixation Time. Oikos 114: 376-376. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.2006.0030-1299.14778.x

